In this post:
- Spot Ethereum ETFs had a massive first day, hitting over $1 billion in trading volume but Ethereum’s price hasn’t surged yet.
- Analysts are optimistic, predicting that Ethereum could see a big jump in August if it follows Bitcoin’s pattern from earlier this year.
Spot Ethereum ETFs hit the ground running, blowing past $1 billion in trading volume within a single day. Just like Bitcoin ETFs back in January, Ethereum’s new ETFs have had an explosive start.
In the first 15 minutes of trading, the ETFs saw an incredible $120 million in volume. Yet, Ether’s price hasn’t skyrocketed as many expected. At the moment, ETH is trading at $3,478.30, a modest 1% increase in 24 hours.
Bitcoin had a similar start, with good ETF trading but no immediate price surge. It took Bitcoin a few weeks to pick up and over a month to hit an all-time high. If Ethereum follows Bitcoin’s pattern, we could see a big jump in August.
Before the launch of Ethereum ETFs, analysts were already optimistic about it. At least for Q4 2024. The first-day trading activity only added to their excitement.
Analysts believe that ETH needs to break a resistance level around $3,730 to see a price boom that breaks all-time high. Andrew Kang warned us of a possible dip after the launch as Bitcoin might perform better in the short term.
Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas speculated that if BlackRock’s Ethereum ETF hits over $200 million in trading volume, it could exceed expectations and capture more than 20% of Bitcoin’s inflows. Nate Geraci said:
“That said, even if spot ether ETFs only pull-in 20-25% of the assets of spot bitcoin ETFs, that would be a highly successful result and one that I think is absolutely achievable.”
Some analysts expected a brief decline in Ethereum prices post-ETF launch, similar to Bitcoin’s behavior earlier this year. But they believe it will rebound above the $3,730 level.
Others suggest that the ETFs could trigger a significant bull run for Ethereum, predicting inflows of around $15 billion within the first 18 months of trading.
The launch of Ethereum ETFs has also led to increased volatility in the market. Post-launch, ETH options volatility is expected to rise from 60% to 80%.
This means that traders have been getting ready for potential price swings, which could lead to a bullish reversal in the long term. At press time, Ether was worth $3,643 with an increase of only 0.5% in the past twenty-four hours.
